Ligue 1 · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)
Le Mans
VS
Monaco
Le Mans win
25%
Draw
27%
Monaco win
48%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.6
Expected shots
7 – 22
Match analysis
Monaco holds a real edge (48% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (27%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).