Ligue 1 · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)
Le Havre
VS
Lorient
Le Havre win
34%
Draw
28%
Lorient win
38%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.4
Expected shots
15 – 15
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Le Havre and Lorient finish within a few points of each other (34% vs 38%), with the draw at 28%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).