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Lazio vs Parma prediction

Serie A · Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Final score: Lazio 2 – 1 Parma

The outcome rated most likely (a Lazio win, 74%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Lazio
VS
Parma
Lazio win
74%
Draw
18%
Parma win
8%
Expected goals
2.3 – 0.6
Expected shots
20 – 9

Match analysis

Lazio dominates this matchup: 74% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 8% for Parma. Lazio frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 54% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 18:51 (UK time).

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