Serie A · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Fiorentina
VS
Juventus
Fiorentina win
36%
Draw
26%
Juventus win
38%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.5
Expected shots
15 – 15
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Fiorentina and Juventus finish within a few points of each other (36% vs 38%), with the draw at 26%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:05 (UK time).