Premier League · Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)
Final score: Coventry 0 – 1 Fulham
The outcome rated most likely (a Fulham win, 42%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Coventry
VS
Fulham
Coventry win
32%
Draw
26%
Fulham win
42%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.6
Expected shots
12 – 16
Match analysis
Fulham holds a real edge (42% vs 32%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 14:21 (UK time).