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Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction

Premier League · Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)

Final score: Chelsea 0 – 2 Tottenham

The model gave a Tottenham win only 11%. At 11%, an outcome happens about 11 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Chelsea
VS
Tottenham
Chelsea win
71%
Draw
18%
Tottenham win
11%
Expected goals
2.6 – 1.0
Expected shots
18 – 13

Match analysis

Chelsea dominates this matchup: 71% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 11% for Tottenham. Chelsea frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 54% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 16:51 (UK time).

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