The model gave a draw only 28%. At 28%, an outcome happens about 28 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Celta Vigo
Real BetisReal Betis holds a real edge (50% vs 22%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 14:21 (UK time).
Exact scores, scorers and detailed markets in the free app