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Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction

Bundesliga · Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)

Final score: Borussia Dortmund 1 – 0 Eintracht Frankfurt

The outcome rated most likely (a Borussia Dortmund win, 69%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Borussia Dortmund
VS
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Dortmund win
69%
Draw
18%
Eintracht Frankfurt win
13%
Expected goals
2.5 – 1.0
Expected shots
23 – 8

Match analysis

Borussia Dortmund dominates this matchup: 69% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 13% for Eintracht Frankfurt. Borussia Dortmund frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 52% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 16:51 (UK time).

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