La Liga · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)
Barcelona
VS
Getafe
Barcelona win
92%
Draw
6%
Getafe win
2%
Expected goals
3.8 – 0.6
Expected shots
25 – 5
Match analysis
Barcelona dominates this matchup: 92% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 2% for Getafe. Barcelona frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 76% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:11 (UK time).