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Auxerre vs Le Mans prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)

Final score: Auxerre 1 – 1 Le Mans

The model gave a draw only 24%. At 24%, an outcome happens about 24 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Auxerre
VS
Le Mans
Auxerre win
44%
Draw
24%
Le Mans win
32%
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.5
Expected shots
11 – 17

Match analysis

Auxerre holds a real edge (44% vs 32%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 15:21 (UK time).

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