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Aston Villa vs Brentford prediction

Premier League · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)

Aston Villa
VS
Brentford
Aston Villa win
27%
Draw
32%
Brentford win
41%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.5
Expected shots
13 – 16

Match analysis

Brentford holds a real edge (41% vs 27%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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