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Arsenal vs Everton prediction

Premier League · Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)

Final score: Arsenal 2 – 0 Everton

The outcome rated most likely (a Arsenal win, 72%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Arsenal
VS
Everton
Arsenal win
72%
Draw
19%
Everton win
9%
Expected goals
2.2 – 0.7
Expected shots
22 – 7

Match analysis

Arsenal dominates this matchup: 72% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 9% for Everton. Arsenal frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 52% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 14:21 (UK time).

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