Ligue 1 · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)
Final score: Angers 0 – 0 Lorient
The model gave a draw only 25%. At 25%, an outcome happens about 25 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Angers
VS
Lorient
Angers win
31%
Draw
25%
Lorient win
44%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.7
Expected shots
9 – 18
Match analysis
Lorient holds a real edge (44% vs 31%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 15:21 (UK time).