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1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Bundesliga · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)

Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 3 – 0 Bayer Leverkusen

The model gave a 1899 Hoffenheim win only 11%. At 11%, an outcome happens about 11 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

1899 Hoffenheim
VS
Bayer Leverkusen
1899 Hoffenheim win
11%
Draw
15%
Bayer Leverkusen win
74%
Expected goals
1.2 – 3.1
Expected shots
11 – 23

Match analysis

Bayer Leverkusen dominates this matchup: 74% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 11% for 1899 Hoffenheim. Bayer Leverkusen frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 58% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 13:51 (UK time).

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