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Villarreal vs Napoli prediction

Champions League · Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Villarreal
VS
Napoli
Villarreal win
47%
Draw
26%
Napoli win
27%
Expected goals
2.1 – 1.6
Expected shots
15 – 14

Match analysis

Villarreal holds a real edge (47% vs 27%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 6 October at 01:19 (UK time).

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