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Arsenal vs Lille prediction

Champions League · Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Arsenal
VS
Lille
Arsenal win
75%
Draw
18%
Lille win
7%
Expected goals
2.6 – 0.9
Expected shots
25 – 5

Match analysis

Arsenal dominates this matchup: 75% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 7% for Lille. Arsenal frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 57% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 6 October at 01:18 (UK time).

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