Champions League · Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Galatasaray
VS
Barcelona
Galatasaray win
9%
Draw
14%
Barcelona win
77%
Expected goals
1.5 – 3.6
Expected shots
10 – 25
Match analysis
Barcelona dominates this matchup: 77% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 9% for Galatasaray. Barcelona frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 62% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 6 October at 01:18 (UK time).