Champions League · Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
RB Leipzig
VS
PSV Eindhoven
RB Leipzig win
39%
Draw
27%
PSV Eindhoven win
34%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.8
Expected shots
14 – 15
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: RB Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven finish within a few points of each other (40% vs 34%), with the draw at 27%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 6 October at 01:19 (UK time).