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Lens vs Sporting CP prediction

Champions League · Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Lens
VS
Sporting CP
Lens win
38%
Draw
29%
Sporting CP win
33%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.5
Expected shots
12 – 11

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Lens and Sporting CP finish within a few points of each other (38% vs 33%), with the draw at 29%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 6 October at 01:18 (UK time).

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