Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United prediction

Champions League · Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Atletico Madrid

VS

Manchester United

Atletico Madrid win

48%

Draw

30%

Manchester United win

22%

Match analysis

Atletico Madrid holds a real edge (48% vs 22%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (30%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 6 October at 01:18 (UK time).

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