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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction

Bundesliga · Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 (UK time)

Final score: VfB Stuttgart 2 – 3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

The model gave a Borussia Mönchengladbach win only 14%. At 14%, an outcome happens about 14 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

VfB Stuttgart
VS
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart win
67%
Draw
19%
Borussia Mönchengladbach win
14%
Expected goals
2.4 – 1.0
Expected shots
25 – 10

Match analysis

VfB Stuttgart dominates this matchup: 67% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 14% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. VfB Stuttgart frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 51% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 23 October at 18:51 (UK time).

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