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Dunkerque vs Metz prediction

Ligue 2 · Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)

Final score: Dunkerque 1 – 1 Metz

The model gave a draw only 25%. At 25%, an outcome happens about 25 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Dunkerque
VS
Metz
Dunkerque win
30%
Draw
25%
Metz win
45%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.7
Expected shots
11 – 16

Match analysis

Metz holds a real edge (45% vs 30%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 23 October at 18:51 (UK time).

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