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PAU vs Grenoble prediction

Ligue 2 · Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)

Final score: PAU 2 – 1 Grenoble

The outcome rated most likely (a PAU win, 66%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

PAU
VS
Grenoble
PAU win
66%
Draw
22%
Grenoble win
12%
Expected goals
1.9 – 0.7
Expected shots
17 – 9

Match analysis

PAU dominates this matchup: 66% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 12% for Grenoble. PAU frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 47% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 23 October at 18:51 (UK time).

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