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Torino vs Monza prediction

Serie A · Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Final score: Torino 3 – 2 Monza

The outcome rated most likely (a Torino win, 44%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Torino
VS
Monza
Torino win
44%
Draw
23%
Monza win
33%
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.7
Expected shots
11 – 17

Match analysis

Torino holds a real edge (44% vs 33%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (23%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 23 October at 18:51 (UK time).

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