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Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Final score: Union St. Gilloise 4 – 0 Hapoel Beer Sheva

The outcome rated most likely (a Union St. Gilloise win, 57%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Union St. Gilloise
VS
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Union St. Gilloise win
57%
Draw
25%
Hapoel Beer Sheva win
18%
Expected goals
1.8 – 0.9
Expected shots
19 – 8

Match analysis

Union St. Gilloise comes out on top in most scenarios (57% win rate), but Hapoel Beer Sheva finds a way in 18% of simulations. Union St. Gilloise frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 41% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 17:12 (UK time).

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