PredictiumFree Android app · Français

Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Final score: Ararat-Armenia 0 – 4 AZ Alkmaar

The outcome rated most likely (a AZ Alkmaar win, 74%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Ararat-Armenia
VS
AZ Alkmaar
Ararat-Armenia win
10%
Draw
16%
AZ Alkmaar win
74%
Expected goals
0.9 – 2.6
Expected shots
8 – 25

Match analysis

AZ Alkmaar dominates this matchup: 74% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 10% for Ararat-Armenia. AZ Alkmaar frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 56% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 17:11 (UK time).

Exact scores, scorers and detailed markets in the free app

More predictions