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Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Final score: Dinamo Zagreb 2 – 4 NEC Nijmegen

The model gave a NEC Nijmegen win only 23%. At 23%, an outcome happens about 23 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Dinamo Zagreb
VS
NEC Nijmegen
Dinamo Zagreb win
56%
Draw
21%
NEC Nijmegen win
23%
Expected goals
2.4 – 1.5
Expected shots
15 – 11

Match analysis

Dinamo Zagreb comes out on top in most scenarios (56% win rate), but NEC Nijmegen finds a way in 23% of simulations. Dinamo Zagreb frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 44% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 17:11 (UK time).

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