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OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Final score: OFI 0 – 2 Bayer Leverkusen

The outcome rated most likely (a Bayer Leverkusen win, 80%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

OFI
VS
Bayer Leverkusen
OFI win
7%
Draw
13%
Bayer Leverkusen win
80%
Expected goals
0.8 – 3.0
Expected shots
4 – 25

Match analysis

Bayer Leverkusen dominates this matchup: 80% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 7% for OFI. Bayer Leverkusen frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 62% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 17:12 (UK time).

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