The model gave a draw only 22%. At 22%, an outcome happens about 22 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Lech Poznan
SunderlandSunderland comes out on top in most scenarios (56% win rate), but Lech Poznan finds a way in 22% of simulations. Sunderland frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 44% of runs).
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 17:11 (UK time).
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