Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Final score: Trabzonspor 2 – 0 Heart Of Midlothian
The outcome rated most likely (a Trabzonspor win, 66%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Trabzonspor
VS
Heart Of Midlothian
Trabzonspor win
66%
Draw
19%
Heart Of Midlothian win
15%
Expected goals
2.6 – 1.2
Expected shots
13 – 16
Match analysis
Trabzonspor dominates this matchup: 66% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 15% for Heart Of Midlothian. Trabzonspor frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 51% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 17:12 (UK time).