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Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

Europa League · Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Sunderland 1 – 0 AZ Alkmaar

The model gave a Sunderland win only 23%. At 23%, an outcome happens about 23 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Sunderland
VS
AZ Alkmaar
Sunderland win
23%
Draw
28%
AZ Alkmaar win
49%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.9
Expected shots
12 – 19

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 16 September at 19:06 (UK time).

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