Europa League · Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Final score: Omonia Nicosia 1 – 0 Celta Vigo
The outcome rated most likely (a Omonia Nicosia win, 66%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Omonia Nicosia
VS
Celta Vigo
Omonia Nicosia win
66%
Draw
22%
Celta Vigo win
12%
Expected goals
2.4 – 1.0
Expected shots
23 – 17
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 16 September at 17:09 (UK time).