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Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha prediction

Europa League · Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Final score: Ararat-Armenia 1 – 4 Sparta Praha

The model gave a Sparta Praha win only 21%. At 21%, an outcome happens about 21 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Ararat-Armenia
VS
Sparta Praha
Ararat-Armenia win
49%
Draw
30%
Sparta Praha win
21%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.1
Expected shots
14 – 13

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 16 September at 17:09 (UK time).

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