Europa League · Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Final score: Bayer Leverkusen 2 – 0 Celje
The outcome rated most likely (a Bayer Leverkusen win, 67%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Bayer Leverkusen
VS
Celje
Bayer Leverkusen win
67%
Draw
20%
Celje win
13%
Expected goals
2.8 – 1.3
Expected shots
25 – 14
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 16 September at 19:06 (UK time).