Europa League · Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Final score: Sturm Graz 0 – 0 Rennes
The model gave a draw only 31%. At 31%, an outcome happens about 31 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Sturm Graz
VS
Rennes
Sturm Graz win
38%
Draw
31%
Rennes win
31%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.4
Expected shots
17 – 17
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 16 September at 19:06 (UK time).