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Sporting CP vs Lask Linz prediction

Champions League · Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Sporting CP 2 – 3 Lask Linz

The model gave a Lask Linz win only 26%. At 26%, an outcome happens about 26 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Sporting CP
VS
Lask Linz
Sporting CP win
53%
Draw
21%
Lask Linz win
26%
Expected goals
2.4 – 1.6
Expected shots
15 – 9

Match analysis

Sporting CP comes out on top in most scenarios (53% win rate), but Lask Linz finds a way in 26% of simulations. Sporting CP frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 43% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 October at 19:12 (UK time).

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