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Lille vs Galatasaray prediction

Champions League · Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Final score: Lille 2 – 4 Galatasaray

The model gave a Galatasaray win only 29%. At 29%, an outcome happens about 29 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Lille
VS
Galatasaray
Lille win
46%
Draw
25%
Galatasaray win
29%
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.4
Expected shots
11 – 14

Match analysis

Lille holds a real edge (46% vs 29%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 October at 17:11 (UK time).

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