La Liga · Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
Final score: Levante 3 – 1 Athletic Club
The outcome rated most likely (a Levante win, 38%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Levante
VS
Athletic Club
Levante win
38%
Draw
29%
Athletic Club win
33%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.2
Expected shots
12 – 16
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Levante and Athletic Club finish within a few points of each other (39% vs 33%), with the draw at 29%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 October at 18:11 (UK time).