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Aston Villa vs Viking prediction

Champions League · Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Aston Villa 3 – 1 Viking

The outcome rated most likely (a Aston Villa win, 73%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Aston Villa
VS
Viking
Aston Villa win
73%
Draw
16%
Viking win
11%
Expected goals
2.9 – 1.1
Expected shots
18 – 10

Match analysis

Aston Villa dominates this matchup: 73% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 11% for Viking. Aston Villa frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 56% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 October at 19:11 (UK time).

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