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Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction

Champions League · Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Inter 1 – 0 Shakhtar Donetsk

The outcome rated most likely (a Inter win, 66%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Inter
VS
Shakhtar Donetsk
Inter win
66%
Draw
18%
Shakhtar Donetsk win
16%
Expected goals
2.6 – 1.2
Expected shots
21 – 8

Match analysis

Inter dominates this matchup: 66% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 15% for Shakhtar Donetsk. Inter frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 51% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 October at 19:11 (UK time).

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