Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes prediction
Coupe de France · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 00:00 (UK time)
Final score: Sporting Baie-Mahault 0 – 1 Siroco Les Abymes
The outcome rated most likely (a Siroco Les Abymes win, 39%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Sporting Baie-Mahault
VS
Siroco Les Abymes
Sporting Baie-Mahault win
34%
Draw
27%
Siroco Les Abymes win
39%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.5
Expected shots
14 – 13
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Sporting Baie-Mahault and Siroco Les Abymes finish within a few points of each other (34% vs 39%), with the draw at 27%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 November at 23:19 (UK time).