Europa League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
AC Milan
VS
Ferencvarosi TC
AC Milan win
52%
Draw
22%
Ferencvarosi TC win
26%
Expected goals
2.2 – 1.5
Expected shots
12 – 10
Match analysis
AC Milan comes out on top in most scenarios (52% win rate), but Ferencvarosi TC finds a way in 26% of simulations. AC Milan frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 41% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:03 (UK time).