Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Levski Sofia

VS

Jagiellonia

Levski Sofia win

40%

Draw

31%

Jagiellonia win

29%

Match analysis

Levski Sofia holds a real edge (40% vs 29%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 49% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:03 (UK time).

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