Europa League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Anderlecht
VS
Red Bull Salzburg
Anderlecht win
48%
Draw
26%
Red Bull Salzburg win
26%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.1
Expected shots
15 – 13
Match analysis
Anderlecht holds a real edge (48% vs 26%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (27%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:03 (UK time).