Europa League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Sparta Praha
VS
Bournemouth
Sparta Praha win
9%
Draw
15%
Bournemouth win
76%
Expected goals
0.9 – 2.8
Expected shots
9 – 25
Match analysis
Bournemouth dominates this matchup: 76% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 9% for Sparta Praha. Bournemouth frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 58% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:04 (UK time).