Ligue 2 · Friday, 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
Sochaux
VS
Boulogne
Sochaux win
34%
Draw
46%
Boulogne win
20%
Expected goals
0.7 – 0.5
Expected shots
10 – 11
Match analysis
Sochaux holds a real edge (34% vs 20%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (46%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 62% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 2 October at 14:10 (UK time).