Ligue 2 · Friday, 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
Nancy
VS
Guingamp
Nancy win
45%
Draw
32%
Guingamp win
23%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.1
Expected shots
22 – 13
Match analysis
Nancy holds a real edge (45% vs 23%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 2 October at 14:10 (UK time).