Ligue 2 · Friday, 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
Montpellier
VS
Grenoble
Montpellier win
56%
Draw
29%
Grenoble win
15%
Expected goals
1.7 – 0.8
Expected shots
19 – 6
Match analysis
Montpellier comes out on top in most scenarios (56% win rate), but Grenoble finds a way in 15% of simulations.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 2 October at 14:10 (UK time).