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Lens vs Lyon prediction

Ligue 1 · Friday, 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Lens
VS
Lyon
Lens win
48%
Draw
31%
Lyon win
21%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.0
Expected shots
17 – 11

Match analysis

Lens holds a real edge (48% vs 21%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 2 October at 14:10 (UK time).

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