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Malaga vs Espanyol prediction

La Liga · Friday, 9 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Malaga
VS
Espanyol
Malaga win
34%
Draw
35%
Espanyol win
31%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.1
Expected shots
12 – 16

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Malaga and Espanyol finish within a few points of each other (34% vs 31%), with the draw at 35%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 2 October at 14:10 (UK time).

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